RJ: sector rotation

Recent Forum Posts Forums 汗牛充栋 RJ: sector rotation

This topic contains 0 replies, has 1 voice, and was last updated by googlist 17:47, 04/24.

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    googlist
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    RJ 写道: 板 块轮转(sector rotation)的内在关系不是一个简单的课题,也没有简单的规律可一通百通。要了解个板块之间的联动,必须对经济大体形势,当前政经要点,市场供求关 系,科技发展阶段等等有所了解。股市分析公司对板块孰重孰轻也会仁者见仁,智者见智。但是这的确是一个很能获利的题目。大家看过那位将资本18个月从1。 6万发到1千8百万的Dan Zanger 的成功秘诀之一就是watch sector rotation.

    就个人而言,没有时间去研究sector, 只有跟风了。 最常见的方法一是看sector indices. 二是如DUYE所说观察ETF/Ishares等sector funds. 三是有些研究机构会发一些sector ratings. 比如briefing.com 八月中旬就将drug sector upgrade 到四个星,并指出Generic drug 会在此次领军。果然不久,这个sector 就开始反弹。
    就目前而言,前一段时间热火的sectors, 有可能会休息一下。前一段时间受冷落的sector, 可能会再获青睐。 比如$DRG sector,6,7,8,其他sectors 涨得热火朝天的时候,它倒是一路倒贴。从九月开始反弹的这一波,如能在320上站住脚,继续往上行是大有希望的。由于drugs 受经济发展影响不大,在主流板块需要休息时,寻找出路的资金可能到这里来发展。

    这样吧,我到基本分析开一个项,就叫 “Sector Watch”. 请大家去发表意见如何?

    RJ 写道:
    Sector rotation really is a very profitable topic. This is also one of the important investment vehicles of mutual funds. I would first sort my stocks by sectors, and by weakness and strenth. Watch them for a while, the longer you watch, the more you would understand the internal link between sectors and stocks. That will also provide you a long-term investment/trading tool. Trust me, it is definetely worth it.

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